Please Note: Blog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors. Nassim Taleb, the author of Black Swan and Fooled by Randomness, recently claimed that “George Soros has two ...
The Sleeping Beauty paradox is a thought experiment that challenges how probability should be understood when memory and ...
After the noisy 2020 election season in the United States, journalists wrote extensively about the inaccuracy of preelection polls. They weren’t the only ones. According to a report by the American ...