In last week's commentary we spoke about the big bounce of the S&P 500 (SPY) that got us back in the mix of all the key trend lines (50/100/200 day moving averages). And likely we would be stuck in a ...

Our weekly simulation for U.S. Treasury yields and spreads. Read the latest update in the article series, as of January 30, ...

I still remember back in 2006, when the curve inverted ahead of the financial crisis. Hardly anyone outside of bankers, economists, hardcore investors and bond traders knew what it meant. But by 2008, ...

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SANTA ANA, Calif. — Consumers and corporate chieftains alike should check an economic flare the bond market sent up on Tuesday. Traders on Tuesday demanded higher yields on U.S. Treasury bonds ...

Treasury yield curve outlook: 3‑month T‑bill most likely 1–2% in 10 years; 2y/10y spread turns positive. See inversion odds ...