These puzzles showcase the base rate fallacy; the second one is also an example of the false positive paradox. When people ...

It's said that statistics don't lie, but they often don't tell the whole truth, either. A Cornell statistics expert has come up with a method he believes can boost statistical power and significantly ...

You have probably encountered the base rate fallacy, and it probably fooled you. Part mathematical paradox and part cognitive bias, this mental oversight has surprisingly forceful things to say ...

Manno: The disconnect between public confidence and student opinion reflects concerns about costs, as well as students’ actual experience on campus.

Model math standards produced by conservative education advocates helped spark a battle in South Dakota that could spread to other states.